Wednesday 1 June 2016

Bill Gates claims says machines will outsmart humans in some areas within a decade

Bill Gates has proclaimed the 'AI dream is finally arriving' - despite admitting it could be a major concern for the future of humanity.


'The dream is finally arriving,' Gates said, speaking with wife Melinda Gates on Wednesday at the Code Conference in Southern California.
'This is what it was all leading up to.'

Gates said enough progress has been made to ensure that in the next 10 years there will be robots to do tasks like driving and warehouse work as well as machines that can outpace humans in certain areas of knowledge, according to recode.

He also suggested a pair of books that people should read, including Nick Bostrom's book on superintelligence and Pedro Domingos' 'The Master Algorithm.'
Previously he has warned the risk of artificial intelligence software becoming super smart is 'way out in the future,'

In the next 10 to 20 years, AI is going to be 'extremely helpful' in managing our lives, Gates told CNBC  in a 'Squawk Box' interview earlier this year.

Gates said what he called 'alter-ego software' is going to deal with day to day emails and other correspondence.
'It will look at all the new information and present to you, knowing about your interests, what would be most valuable,' he predicted, saying Microsoft along with the Google unit Alphabet, Facebook and Apple are making great strides in artificial intelligence.


In a separate claim while taking part in an Ask Me Anything (AMA) Q&A session on Reddit, Gates said he had doubts: 'I am in the camp that is concerned about super intelligence.
'First the machines will do a lot of jobs for us and not be super intelligent.

That should be positive if we manage it well.
'A few decades after that though the intelligence is strong enough to be a concern.
'I agree with Elon Musk and some others on this and don't understand why some people are not concerned.'
So it is perhaps not surprising there are now growing fears among the public about the threat posed by artificial intelligence.
A new survey has revealed that one in three people now believe the rise of AI computing will pose a serious threat to humanity within the next century.
More than 60 per cent fear that robots will lead to there being fewer jobs in the next ten years.
And 27 per cent predict that it will decrease the number of jobs 'a lot' with previous research suggesting admin and service sector workers will be the hardest hit.

The survey of 2,000 people was conducted by YouGov on behalf of the British Science Association (BSA) to mark the start of British Science Week, which begins today.
A quarter of the respondants predicted robots will become part of everyday life in just 11 to 20 years, with 18 per cent predicting this will happen within the next decade.

Just under half of those polled opposed the idea of robots or programming being equipped with emotions or a personality, meaning that pop culture favourite robots in films such as Wall-E or Ex Machina might prove unpopular in real life.

And the public is largely skeptical about whether machines will ever be trusted to take on roles where lives could be in danger.
The poll found that approximately half of those surveyed would not trust robotic surgeons, bus drivers or commercial aircraft pilots.
But they would be happy if intelligent machines could help around the house, with around half of those polled happy to let domestic bots cook and clean for older people.

A similar percentage would be comfortable with intelligent machines flying unmanned search and rescue or military aircraft, with 70 per cent eager for them to monitor crops.
'It isn't surprising that many people are apprehensive about the future when it comes to artificial intelligence,' said Lord David Willetts, Chair of the British Science Association.

'Innovation is often scary, but it is important to remember that the economy and the world is constantly changing and adapting: the rise of a new technology such as this is simply the newest invention that will take adjusting to and we are infinitely capable of that.
'What this research shows is that the public's fears need to be listened to as we go on to innovate and trail-blaze in this area.'

Both Elon Musk and Stephen Hawking have been outspoken about their fears of artificially intelligent machines.
The SpaceX and Tesla CEO last year described AI as our 'biggest existential threat' and likened its development as 'summoning the demon.'
                                                                Professor Hawking
He believes super intelligent machines could use humans as pets.
Professor Hawking has recently said it is a 'near certainty' that a major technological disaster will threaten humanity in the next 1,000 to 10,000 years.

The survey found that women fear the rise of AI machines more than men, with just 17 per cent of women claiming to feel optimistic about the technology, compared with 28 per cent of men.
Some 13 per cent of men can imagine themselves becoming friends with a robot, compared to just six per cent of women.
                                                               Elon Musk
Lord Willets said: 'People will always want human experiences - robots will not kill the radio star, and we will always want to interact with other people.
'In fact, the greater problem is that artificial intelligence cannot quickly enough fill jobs that are going spare.'

Young people, between the ages of 18 and 24 are the most open minded about a future filled with AI machines, with one in four envisaging having robotic so-workers and 10 per cent even open to welcoming them as family members.
More than half of this age bracket - 55 per cent- also said that intelligent machines could take up the role of servants in a household.


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